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AP-Univision Poll: College dreams for Latinos

WASHINGTON, D.C., July 29, 2010 (AP): More than 10 years have passed since she gave up her pursuit of a degree in computer science, but Yajahira Deaza still has regrets. She says she feels incomplete.

She now works in customer service for a major New York bank, and her experience reflects the findings of an Associated Press-Univision poll that examined the attitudes of Latino adults toward higher education. Despite strong belief in the value of a college diploma, Latinos more often than not fall short of that goal.

The findings have broad implications not only for educators and parents, but for the economy.

In the next decade, U.S. companies will have to fill millions of jobs to replace well-trained baby boomers going into retirement. As the nation's largest minority group, Latinos account for a growing share of the pool of workers, yet their skills may not be up to par. Aware of the challenge, some California State University campuses are reaching out to Latino children as early as the fourth grade.

``Aspirations for higher education are very strong among Hispanics, but there's a yawning discrepancy between aspirations and actual attainment,'' said Richard Fry, an education researcher at the Pew Hispanic Center.

How the AP-Univision poll was conducted

July 27, 2010 (AP): The Associated Press-Univision poll of Latino adults was conducted by the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago from March 11-June 3. It is based on a nationally representative random sample of 1,521 Latino adults. Data were gathered via mail, the Internet and telephone. The majority of interviews were completed via mail (82 percent); 15 percent were completed by telephone and 4 percent via the Internet.

The sponsors and funders of the project include The Associated Press, Univision Communications Inc., The Nielsen Company and Stanford University. Stanford University's participation was made possible by a grant from The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Fifty-three percent of interviews were conducted in English and 47 percent were done in Spanish.

All respondents were offered a monetary incentive to complete the study.

The sample of Latino households was provided by The Nielsen Company. Nielsen conducts an annual survey of Latino households in the United States for its television viewing ratings services. The sample frame for this survey incorporated 3,427 households that were previously contacted by Nielsen and estimated to be Latino.

The response rate for the original Nielsen survey is estimated to be 90 percent. The cumulative response rate for the AP-Univision survey was estimated to be approximately 40 percent.

The final sample was statistically adjusted to be a more accurate representation of all Latino householders in the United States based on geography and Latino residential penetration, educational attainment and language usage by the householder, as well as the householder's age, sex and country of origin.

No more than one time in 20 should chance variations in the sample cause the results to vary by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points from the answers that would be obtained if all Latinos in the U.S. were polled.

There are other sources of potential error in polls, including the wording and order of questions.

The questions and results for this poll are available at http://surveys.ap.org.

Indeed, the poll, also sponsored by The Nielsen Company and Stanford University, found that Latinos value higher education more than do U.S.-Americans as a whole. Eighty-seven percent said a college education is extremely or very important, compared with 78 percent of the overall U.S. population.

Ninety-four percent of Latinos say they expect their own children to go to college, a desire that's slightly stronger for girls. Seventy-four percent said the most important goal for a girl right after high school is to attend a four-year college, compared with 71 percent for boys.

Enthusiasm about higher education hasn't been matched by results.

Census figures show that only 13 percent of Latinos have a bachelor's degree or higher, compared with 30 percent among U.S.-Americans overall.

The poll revealed some of the roadblocks: Latinos don't have enough money, yet many are reluctant to borrow. Family obligations intervene. Parents and teachers provide only lukewarm support.

Fifty-four percent said their own parents either did not expect them to go to college, or did not care either way.

After graduating high school, Angel Vsquez of Port Arthur, Texas, wanted to go to a technical school to become a diesel mechanic. First he wanted a six-month break. No, said the grandfather who raised him: Go to school immediately or get a job immediately.

Now 23, Vsquez works as a technician for a company that repairs buildings damaged by water and mold. ``My grandparents raised me pretty good, and I understand where they were coming from,'' he said. But ``I seriously wish I would have gone to school because I could be making double the money.''

In the poll, just 29 percent cited poor grades in high school as an extremely or very important reason for not going to college.

``A main takeaway here for policy makers is that there are a lot of things that are inhibiting Hispanics, other than their academic performance,'' said Michael Kirst, a Stanford University education professor. ``They have really major barriers that are more intense for this population.''

Affordability was the top reason for not completing a college degree, cited by 54 percent as ``extremely'' or ``very'' important. Financial pressure is magnified by a reluctance to borrow that appears to be cultural.

Even among Latinos who are U.S. citizens by birth, only 32 percent said they had borrowed to finance education, compared with 39 percent of the general population. Aversion to debt was even stronger among the foreign-born.

Carolina Crdenas, who oversees outreach for the California State University system, says some Latino families don't realize they can borrow on favorable terms for college.

``There's a real misperception about how this money gets paid back,'' she said. ``They don't want to owe too much, and they're afraid they have to pay it back immediately.''

In California, the state university system tries to start working with Latino students no later than sixth grade, spelling out what they need to do year-by-year as they move through middle and high school. Part of the pitch is the comparatively low tuition at state schools.

The second most common reason for not finishing college was family responsibilities, cited as extremely or very important by 52 percent.

Deaza said that's why she had to leave her computer studies back in the late 1990s. A single mom-to-be, she was expecting her first child, a daughter who's now 11. Now married with three children, she says she has a lot to be thankful for. Still, she feels bad about not having her degree _ particularly when she's job hunting.

At 33, Deaza hasn't totally given up her college dream. She'd study accounting next time around. ``I like to work with numbers,'' she said.

The AP-Univision Poll was conducted from March 11 to June 3, 2010, by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. Using a sample of Latino households provided by The Nielsen Company, 1,521 Latinos were interviewed in English and Spanish, mostly by mail but also by telephone and the Internet. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Stanford University's participation in the study was made possible by a grant from The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

AP News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius contributed to this report.


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